Analysts predict lower rates for 2 years

Reacting the Bank of Canada’s cut in interest rates many economists are predicting they will have to stay low for some time. While talk of cheaper mortgages may be in focus for homeowners and buyers the wider economic picture painted by the BoC is one of sluggish growth for Canada this year. Two quarters of negative growth (0.6 per cent in Q1 and 0.5 per cent in Q2) means a technical recession and the bank cut its expectation for this year to just above 1 per cent with next year and 2.5 per cent in 2016 and 2017. That contrasts with growth in the global economy of 3 per cent for this year and 3.5 per cent in the following two years. Additionally Fed chair Janet Yellen said Wednesday that the US economy is on target for a rise in interest rates.

The cut in interest rates has already hit the loonie, although that should help exports which are a key part of the plan to boost the economy. Some analysts are skeptical as to whether Canada can achieve even the downgraded GDP forecasts and are calling for interest rates to stay low, and perhaps go lower, during the next two years.